Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Mar 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a GALE WARNING, from through 22/0000 UTC, for the Canarias Marine Zone. SW winds to Force 8 are associated with 994 mb low pressure near 31N18W. These gales have generated an extensive area of very rough seas extending S to 21N and W to 32W, with peak seas around 15 ft. Winds and seas will gradually diminish tonight after the GALE WARNING expires and the area of low pressure weakens, although some seas in excess of 12 ft will likely persist through Sun just W of the Canary Islands. For more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by Meteo-France at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2 for more information.
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of Liberia near 06N10W and continues southwestward to 03N16W, where the ITCZ begins and continues to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 120 nm on either side of both of these axes.
A 1021 mb high pressure centered in the NE Gulf remains in control of the regional weather conditions. Gentle anticyclonic winds and 1-3 ft seas generally prevail. Moderate to locally fresh southerly winds have developed within 90 nm of the coast of northeast Mexico and Texas, with similar NE winds near the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern Gulf will maintain mostly moderate SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the western Gulf into the middle of next week. A trough over the Bay of Campeche in the southwest Gulf will support occasional moderate to fresh winds off the northern and western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula mainly at night through the middle of next week. This pattern will also support a light to gentle anticyclonic flow and slight seas over the eastern Gulf through Wed. Winds may briefly increase to fresh speeds over the far NE Gulf late Tue into early Wed as a frontal boundary clips the area.
The decaying cold front has now devolved into a surface trough that extends from Hispaniola to just offshore Colombia. Fresh to locally strong winds are W of this trough, with the highest winds just offshore southern Cuba and Haiti, between Haiti and Jamaica, and in the Windward Passage. Seas are 5 to 7 ft, with some locally rough seas likely present. To the east of the trough, winds are mainly SE and gentle, with seas of 2 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, the surface trough will dissipate tonight. Building high pressure over the western Atlantic will support moderate to locally strong NE winds in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage and just south of Hispaniola through Mon. As the associated ridge shifts slightly eastward, fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will develop offshore Colombia Mon through Thu, mainly at night.
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a GALE WARNING EAST OF 35W issued by Meteo-France.
A cold front extends from 1006 mb low pressure just SE of Bermuda to Haiti. Scattered moderate convection is on either side of the front N of 23N between 60W and 67W. Behind the front, extending to about 75W, fresh N winds and rough seas prevail, with waters further west having moderate winds and seas as they become more influenced by high pressure building in from the Gulf of America. E of the front, strong S to SW winds and rough seas are present N of 23N, eastward to 50W.
In the NE Atlantic, aside from the gales and very rough seas being generated by the strong low pressure N of the region, a broader area of strong N winds extends S of 31N to 27N to the east of 33W. Rough seas in mainly N swell have propagated across the entirety of the eastern basin to the east of 47W, including waters around the Cabo Verde Islands.
For the portion of the basin between the two low pressures, a 1027 mb high pressure centered near 35N44W is the primary weather influence. This is leading to mainly moderate easterly winds with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds and rough seas on either side of the aforementioned cold front, and mainly N of 25N, will continue to affect the offshore waters from west to east through Sun as the front continues to move eastward. This system is forecast to reach from 31N57W to Puerto Rico by Sun morning. Then, the front will move across the SE waters Mon through Tue while gradually dissipating. Looking ahead, a new cold front is forecast to enter the offshore waters of NE Florida Mon night into Tue, followed by fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas. These marine conditions are forecast to affect most of the waters N of 27N into the middle of the next week before starting to diminish Wed night as the front lifts N.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services