Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
to receive our free report directly to your inbox
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1805 UTC Thu Nov 30 2023
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic offshore of Sierra Leone near 07N12W, then extends southwestward to 05N30W. The ITCZ continues from 05N30W to 00N48W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 07N between 18W and 25W.
Fresh to strong SE return flow is setting up across the western Gulf west of 90W ahead of the next approaching cold front that will push off the Texas coast on Friday. Flow is also influencing the formation of a warm front along the coast of Texas and Louisiana. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the north central Gulf. Seas are up to 10 ft according to recent buoy observations in the NW Gulf, and 6 to 9 ft in the remaining area of winds described above. Elsewhere, moderate east winds prevail across the Gulf with 3 to 5 ft seas
For the forecast, winds and seas diminish as the front reaches from Pensacola, Florida to Tampico, Mexico by late Sat. The front will reach from Tampa Bay to Veracruz, Mexico by late Sun, then move southeast of the Gulf by late Mon.
A weakening stationary front extends from central Cuba to northern Belize. High pressure north of the front is supporting fresh NE winds over the Yucatan Channel and to the south of central Cuba. Seas are 5 to 6 ft in the NW Caribbean. A recent scatterometer pass revealed fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central and southwest Caribbean, with the strongest winds off Colombia. Combined seas are 6 to 8 ft in this area. Moderate trade winds with 3 to 5 ft area noted over the eastern Caribbean. No significant convection is evident at this time.
For the forecast, the stationary front extending from central Cuba to Belize will dissipate today. High pressure north of the area will support fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas through early next week.
A cold front extends from 31N48W to 25N62W where it becomes stationary, then continues to eastern Cuba near 22N77W. An area of moderate to fresh NE winds is behind the cold front south of 30N and west of 60W. Seas range from 6 to 9 ft behind the front, north of 26N, and east of 72W. 1021 mb high pressure is evident east of the front, centered near 29N44W. Light breezes are noted in the area of the high pressure, with 4 to 6 ft combined seas in mixed swell. The pattern also supports moderate trade winds farther south, with 5 to 7 ft combined seas in a mix of local wind waves with longer period NW swell.
For the forecast west to 55W, the cold front will continue to move southeast, then stall along 21W north of the northern Leeward Islands by Sat. Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds, rough seas and NE swell will follow the front into Sat. Looking ahead, another front will move off the NE coast of Florida Sun night, and reach from just west of Bermuda to the northern Bahamas by late Mon
East of 40W, strong winds and 8 to 12 ft seas are evident north of 25N between 25W and 40W, associated with a gale force low near the Azores. Gentle to moderate winds and 4 to 6 ft seas in NW swell are noted elsewhere east of 40W.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services