Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Apr 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Gale Warning E of 35W: The tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge over the Azores and lower pressures in northwest Africa results in strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough to very rough seas off Morocco. Meteo-France has issued Gale Warnings for the marine zones of Agadir and Tarfaya through 13/12Z.
Please refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast product, listed on the website at https://wwmiws.wmo.int. for more information.
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N15W and continues southwestward to 04N18W. The ITCZ extends from 04N18W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection is present within 300 nm on either side of the ITCZ.
Surface ridging prevails across the basin, extending from a 1034 mb high pressure system centered near 41N68W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas prevail across the basin. Generally dry conditions are occurring over the Gulf waters.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the western Atlantic will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and mostly moderate seas through Fri. Expect stronger winds to pulse across the Florida Straits through the early part of the week, and off the Yucatan Peninsula mainly night through mid week.
The tight pressure gradient between the strong ridge north of the Caribbean and lower pressures in NW South America results in fresh to strong NE-E winds and rough seas in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate seas are found in the NW Caribbean and Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent. No significant weather are occurring in the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will maintain fresh to strong east winds and rough seas over the south-central portion of the basin and near Colombia through the early part of the week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola through most of the upcoming week. Winds and seas will diminish late in the week.
Please read the Special Features section for details on the Gale Warning off Morocco.
A cold front enters the basin near 31N57W and continues southwestward to a 1016 mb low pres near 26N62W, then a stationary front follows to northern Hispaniola. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are present near these boundaries. A tight pressure gradient between the strong ridge over NE England and the aforementioned fronts sustains fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas across much of the waters behind these boundaries.
The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge near the Azores. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and rough seas to 10 ft are observed north of 10N and east of 40W. The strongest winds and highest seas are found in the far NE Atlantic. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 7-9 ft are noted south of 20N and west of 40W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate through the early part of the week. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas persist west of the front mainly south of 27N through mid week, then diminishing through Fri.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services