Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Feb 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A cold front extends from 31N55W to the northern Bahamas. Gale- force W winds of up to 45 kt are occurring N of 27N between 50W and 71W. Seas within the area of gales have built to 25 to 30 ft. Very rough seas in excess of 12 ft extend well S of the gale area due to expansive, significant NW swell, within an area of strong mainly W winds, N of 23N between 35W and 77W. Widespread gale- force to near storm-force winds will impact waters W of the front, north of 27N and east of 70W into Mon, when the front will reach a 31N48W to Leeward Islands line. Gale- force winds behind the front will diminish to fresh to strong speeds by early Tue morning. Very rough seas generated by these winds will propagate SE and impact much of the waters N of 18N through mid-week, with peak seas of 33 ft possible from 30N to Bermuda this afternoon. The very rough seas are likely to finally diminish below 12 ft Wed.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on these events.
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of Liberia near 06.5N11W and extends southwestward to near 03N18W, where it transitions to the ITCZ that continues to 00N47W. Scattered moderate convection is S of 03N between 34W and 47W.
A dissipating stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the upper Texas coast. High pressure dominates on both sides of the boundary, with a 1023 mb high centered near 24N92W. NE of the front, Moderate E to NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail, with light to gentle winds and slight seas to the SW.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the Gulf waters through at least the middle of week, bringing gentle to moderate winds across the eastern half of the Gulf, and moderate to fresh southerly winds across the western half of the basin. Slight to moderate seas will prevail.
A dissipating cold front runs from the Windward Passage to the waters between Jamaica and Grand Cayman to the Yucatan Channel. Fresh to strong NE winds and 5-8 ft seas are ongoing between 75W and 83W, confirmed via scatterometer and altimeter data. Elsewhere across the basin, moderate to fresh NE winds are present with 2-5 ft seas.
For the forecast, a weakening stationary extending from the Leeward Islands to the coast of Colombia near 11N74W will be reinforced by a cold front later today, with the combined front sliding east of the Leeward Islands Mon. Winds will increase in the wake of the front, becoming strong initially offshore Colombia and Hispaniola tonight, then expanding to much of the central Caribbean Mon through Wed, as high pressure in the western Atlantic builds southward toward the area. Rough seas will accompany these strong winds. In addition, large NW to N swell will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N Atlantic waters tonight into Wed.
Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale Warning and significant swell in the western and central Atlantic.
A dissipating stationary front extends from near 31N44W to the Leeward Islands. Another dissipating cold front is analyzed from near 31N52W to the Windward Passage. Scattered showers are seen along the dissipating stationary front. Outside of the gales described above, strong to near gale-force winds are confirmed by scatterometer data N of 24N between 35W and 75W. Rough seas also cover a large area N of 20N between 30W and 78W. Much of the remaining Atlantic waters S of 20N are dominated by moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas, with locally fresh to strong winds near Cabo Verde. To the N of 20N and E of 35W, winds are gentle to moderate or weaker with moderate seas due to a 1027 mb high near 28N23W.
For the forecast W of 55W, gale-force winds are ongoing N of 27N behind a cold front that extends from around 31N52W TO 20N74W. These gales will spread east as the front progresses, and continue impacting northern waters through Mon. This front will merge with a stationary front that is over the SE waters tonight, then move E of the area by Mon night, allowing winds to gradually diminish. Very rough seas will impact most of the waters E of 77W through Tue, with peak seas along 30N, SE of Bermuda, exceeding 30 ft through tonight.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services