Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Apr 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W, then continues southward to 05N20W to 02N25W. The ITCZ extends from 02N25W to 01.5S41W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 03N between 17W and 50W.
A ridge dominates the Gulf region. Under the influence of this system, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are noted over the SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida. Similar wind speeds are observed over the Yucatan Channel and the Bay of Campeche. These winds are associated with a thermal trough. Mainly moderate E to SE winds and moderate seas are observed elsewhere, except in the far NE Gulf where light to gentle winds and slight seas are occurring.
For the forecast, a ridge extends from high pressure over the west- central Atlantic across Florida into the northern Gulf. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and mostly moderate seas through Sat, except in the NE and N-central parts of the basin where mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail. Expect stronger winds to pulse across the southeast Gulf, including the Florida Straits, through this evening, and off the Yucatan Peninsula each night through Wed.
A stationary front over the Atlantic located just N of Puerto Rico and a trough are helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the NE Caribbean, mainly N of 17N and E of 66W. High pressure over the west-central Atlantic combined with the Colombian low supports fresh to locally strong trades in the south- central Caribbean where seas are 7 to 9 ft. Similar wind speeds are found in the Lee of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and just S of the Dominican Republic. Moderate to locally fresh winds dominate the remainder of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8 ft downwind of the Windward Passage, including between Haiti and Jamaica, and 5 to 7 ft in the Lee of Cuba. Moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure over the west-central Atlantic combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to locally strong trade winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean and near the coast of Colombia through Wed night. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola through Wed night as well. Winds and seas will diminish across the basin late in the week.
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning off Morocco.
As previously mentioned, a stationary front is just N of Puerto Rico generating scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms. Fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 8 to 12 ft are found near and behind the aforementioned frontal boundary, with the exception of light to gentle variable winds and 4 to 6 ft seas off NE and central Florida. High pressure follows the front and extends a ridge across the western Atlantic and Florida into the Gulf of America. E of the front, high pressure of 1027 mb located NW of the Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast region. Fresh to strong N to NE winds up to 30 kt, and seas up to 13 ft in long period NW swell prevail N of 20N and E of 20W, including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate to rough seas dominate the tropical Atlantic. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, thunderstorms will continue into this afternoon along a stationary front that is weakening into a surface trough just north of Puerto Rico. The trough will drift west toward Hispaniola on Wed, and the southeastern Bahamas on Thu. Strong NE winds and rough seas will persist west of the trough, with conditions gradually improving toward the end of the work- week as the trough weakens.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services