Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A frontal boundary extends from 31N70W to SE Florida. This front will drift southeastward tonight, then stall from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida through the rest of the week. A low pressure will track NE along the boundary from SE Florida to near Bermuda on Thu. The pressure gradient between strong high pressure to the north of the forecast area and the front is currently supporting NE gales offshore NE Florida. These gale force winds will spread eastward to about 72W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area. Very rough seas of 15 to 20 ft will be generated by these gales, and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.
East Atlantic Large Swell: Long period NW to N swell behind a cold front that extends across the eastern and central Atlantic is creating seas of 11 to 13 ft north of 25N and east of 40W. This swell event will continue to propagate southward with seas 8 ft or greater reaching as far south as 10N on Wed. By late Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to allow seas to drop below 12 ft.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for NW gales to 40 kt, with severe gusts from 08/12 UTC to 09/00 UTC at least. Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.
For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int
The monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. The ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 03N12W to 00N30W to NE Brazil near 01S50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is S of 05N between 10W and 30W.
A stationary front extends southwestward from SW Florida to a weak 1012 mb low pressure located just N of the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the SE Gulf. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are N of the front and E of 90W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are elsewhere N and W of the front. Light to gentle SW to W winds and slight to moderate seas are noted ahead of the front, including the Straits of Florida.
For the forecast, strong to locally near gale NE winds, rough seas, and scattered showers will continue in the E Gulf through Thu, as the frontal boundary stalls near the Florida Straits. Conditions will gradually improve Fri into the weekend as high pressure builds southwestward across the northern Gulf.
The Atlantic ridge extends SW reaching the NE Caribbean. This system is supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft across the eastern part of the basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas exist across the central Caribbean while light and variable winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft dominate the NW Caribbean. Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms are seen over the Greater Antilles. Low-topped trade wind showers are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the east and central Caribbean through Thu, with gentle to moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward from the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient leading to increasing winds, especially in the south-central portion of the basin.
A Gale Warning is in effect for the western Atlantic. Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.
A frontal boundary extends from 31N75W to SE Florida. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are near the front affecting mainly the waters from 24N to 30N W of 65W. Strong to gale force winds are NW of the front while moderate to fresh E to SE winds are ahead of the front based on scatterometer data. Farther E, a cold front crosses just E of the Canary Islands and continues westward to near 24N30W where it begins to dissipate. Mainly low clouds, with possible showers, are associated with this front. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is under the influence of a ridge, anchored by a 1037 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near 36N34W. This system is supporting fresh to strong winds E of 60W, including the tropical Atlantic. Rough to very rough seas in NW to N swell are observed per altimeter data N of 16N and E of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are observed.
For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features section for all the information related to the above mentioned frontal boundary.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services