Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Mar 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N12.5W and continues southwestward to 01S26W. The ITCZ extends from 01S26W to 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 04S to 04N between 11W and 37W.
Weak high pressure supports gentle to moderate breezes across the basin. Seas are 2-4 ft off the western Yucatan Peninsula, and 1-3 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist over the northeast Gulf through late Fri. A trough over the Bay of Campeche will support moderate to fresh winds off the northern and western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula, mainly at night, through Sun. The next cold front will move into the northern Gulf Sat morning, reach the southeast Gulf by Sun morning, and move southeast of the basin late on Sun. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas will follow the front over the eastern Gulf Sat night through early Mon. The pressure gradient will remain strong enough to sustain fresh to strong east winds across the southeast Gulf and the Straits of Florida through the middle of the next week.
The pressure gradient between the ridge north of the basin and lower pressures in northern South America is supporting fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to locally rough seas in the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas prevail across the basin, except for gentle winds over the SW part of the basin and the Mona Passage.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas offshore Colombia through early next week. Looking ahead, high pressure will follow a strong cold front moving through the western Atlantic this weekend, supporting fresh to strong NE winds and building seas in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and just south of Hispaniola from Sun through the early part of next week.
A stationary front extends from 31N60W to 29N75W. A surface trough extends from 31N46.5W to 21N56W. A few showers and thunderstorms are noted near these features. For the remainder of the basin, a weak pressure gradient is leading to moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to locally fresh winds east of the Lesser Antilles. In the far eastern Atlantic, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and rough seas are impacting waters north of 20N and east of 27W.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services