Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Jan 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to 07N17W. The ITCZ continues from 07N17W to 03.5N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 08N east of 13W.
A surface trough extends over the northeastern Gulf from 30N87W to 26N85.5W. No convection is occurring near this trough. Otherwise, a 1017 mb high centered near 27.5N88W extends ridging over the rest of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds and 2 to 5 ft seas are occurring over the western Gulf, with mainly gentle winds and 1 to 3 ft seas noted east of 90W.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds and moderate seas are expected west of 95W through Wed as ridging over the central Gulf moves eastward. Widespread moderate to fresh S to SE winds will develop over the central and western Gulf by Wed night, with strong winds and rough seas possible offshore of Texas and northeastern Mexico on Thu, as a storm system forms over the central U.S. Looking ahead, a strong cold front is expected to enter the northwestern Gulf Fri night into Sat, and widespread fresh to strong winds and rough seas will occur in the wake of the front as it sweeps over the basin this weekend. Gale force winds will be possible offshore of Tampico and Veracruz, Mexico on Sat.
A 1013 mb low is centered near 17N79.5W, and a surface trough extends northeastward from the low to the Windward Passage, as well as to the southeast to 12N76W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted near the trough, including through the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh NE winds are noted south of Hispaniola. Moderate or weaker winds and 2 to 4 ft seas are occurring over the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and locally rough seas will develop over the south-central Caribbean by this evening as low pressure anchors over northern Colombia. Winds may reach near-gale force offshore of Colombia each night starting on Wed. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh NE winds will pulse through the Windward Passage, in the lee of Cuba and south of Hispaniola through late week as high pressure builds to the north. By late week, widespread fresh trade winds are expected over much of the central Caribbean.
A cold front extends from 31N49W southwestward to 20N65W, where it continues westward as a decaying stationary front just north of the Greater Antilles. Widespread showers and thunderstorms are occurring near the cold front, north of 23N between 44W and 58W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are noted north and west of the cold front, with locally strong winds occurring north of 27N between 57W and 62W, as the pressure gradient increases between the front and high pressure centered near 35N64.5W. Farther west, moderate S to SW winds are developing offshore of northern Florida. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh trade winds and 6 to 8 ft seas prevail south of 20N. Fresh to strong NE winds and 8 to 12 ft seas are occurring near and downwind of the Canary Islands, north of 22N and east of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh NE to E winds are expected over much of the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed morning as a cold front in the central Atlantic drifts eastward, and high pressure builds off the southeast coast of the U.S. Locally rough seas occurring in the wake of the front, south of 27N and west of 65W, will diminish this morning, with rough seas east of 65W diminishing through Wed morning. Elsewhere, locally fresh S to SW winds are expected well offshore of Florida into Wed as a surface trough develops to the north. Looking ahead, high pressure will build off the coast of the eastern U.S. by late week.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services