Tropical Weather Reports

in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA

SUBSCRIBE
to receive our free report directly to your inbox

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Feb 10 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

SPECIAL FEATURES

CARIBBEAN SEA GALE-FORCE WIND WARNING

A tight surface pressure gradient, that is between an Atlantic Ocean 32N35W 1028 mb high pressure center and lower surface pressures that are in Colombia, continues to support strong to near gale-force winds, between the Mona Passage and western Jamaica, in the Caribbean Sea. The wind speeds will pulse to gale-force during the late night and early morning hours, in the offshore waters of Colombia, for the next few days. Expect rough seas, to a maximum of 12 feet.

Please, refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, that is issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the website: www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for details.

Mostly fresh, to some fresh-to-strong NE to E winds are elsewhere from the Mona Passage eastward. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are elsewhere from the western sections of Jamaica westward. Rough seas are from 16N southward between 69W and 78W. Moderate seas cover much of the remainder of the Caribbean Sea from 80W eastward. Some exceptions are for slight to moderate seas, in the coastal waters that are from Guadeloupe southward, in the coastal waters of Venezuela, and in the coastal waters of the countries of Central America, and elsewhere from 80W westward.

MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ

The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of NW Liberia, to 03N18W. The ITCZ continues from 03N18W, to 02N26W, to the Equator along 31W, to 01S42W. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate/isolated strong is from 08N southward from 54W eastward.

GULF OF MEXICO

A cold front is passing through the Florida Panhandle, to SE Louisiana, to the middle Texas Gulf coast. Rainshowers are possible from 25N northward. Mostly fresh to some strong NE winds are from the cold front northward.

A surface ridge is along 26N94W, beyond 28N in Florida, beyond 28N70W in the Atlantic Ocean. Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the remainder of the Gulf of Mexico, away from the cold front.

Moderate or slower anticyclonic winds, and slight seas, cover the remainder of the Gulf of Mexico.

High pressure centered NE of the area will dominate much of the week. The ridge will shift east later this week, allowing a cold front to enter the NW Gulf late this week. Southerly winds will strengthen in the central Gulf midweek ahead of the front.

CARIBBEAN SEA

Please, refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about a Gale-Force Wind Warning that is covering the coastal waters of Colombia. The warning period starts tonight. It stops on Tuesday morning, and it starts again from Tuesday night until Wednesday morning.

Mostly fresh, to some fresh-to-strong NE to E winds are elsewhere from the Mona Passage eastward. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are elsewhere from the western sections of Jamaica westward. Rough seas are from 16N southward between 69W and 78W. Moderate seas cover much of the remainder of the Caribbean Sea from 80W eastward. Some exceptions are for slight to moderate seas, in the coastal waters that are from Guadeloupe southward, in the coastal waters of Venezuela, and in the coastal waters of the countries of Central America, and elsewhere from 80W westward.

The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 10/1200 UTC, are: 0.23 in Curacao; 0.09 in San Juan in Puerto Rico; and 0.02 in Trinidad. This information is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.

A tight pressure gradient between high pressure centered over the western Atlantic and low pressure focused over northwestern Colombia will support pulsing winds to gale force each night and early morning offshore of Colombia through Thu night. Rough to very rough seas are expected near and to the west of the highest winds. Fresh E to NE trade winds and rough seas are expected across the remainder southwestern and central Caribbean into the weekend, with winds pulsing to strong speeds through the Windward Passage, in the Gulf of Venezuela, and S of Hispaniola. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds will prevail across the remainder of the basin. East swell will bring rough seas near the Windward and Leeward Islands and their passages into the eastern Caribbean Sea through the week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN

The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 10/1200 UTC, are: 0.37 in Freeport in the Bahamas. This information is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.

Fresh to strong NE winds are from the Equator to 27N from 60W eastward. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. Rough seas are from 20N northward from 50W eastward. Moderate seas are from 20N northward from 50W westward. Moderate to rough seas are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean.

Moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail south of 25N into the weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail through late week. East swell will bring rough seas NE of the Leeward Islands and NE of Puerto Rico through the weekend.

Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services