Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Apr 2 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Meteo-France Gale Warning: Meteo-France forecasts gale-force NW winds from 12 UTC through 21 UTC on April 2. Very large seas of 8 to at least 14 ft will likely accompany these winds. For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwwmiws.wmo.int
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic Ocean near 12N15W to 02N20W. The ITCZ extends from 02N20W to 02S30W to offshore of northern Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 03N between 05W and 25W.
A front that was over the northern Gulf coast this afternoon has lifted north of the area as a warm front. The standard evening trough has developed over northwestern Yucatan. The subtropical ridge extends from the western Atlantic through the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas to 6 ft along the north coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, and fresh to strong SE winds and seas to 6 ft off Texas. Moderate winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Platforms in the northwest and north-central Gulf are still reporting areas of fog reducing visibility as to as low as 1 1/2 miles.
For the forecast, fresh to strong SE to S winds will persist across much of the basin west of 85W tonight. These winds will support building rough seas in this region the middle of the week through late week. East of 85W, moderate SE winds will strengthen to fresh to strong speeds Wed into Thu, including the Florida Straits.
The pressure gradient between strong high pressure north of the area and a 1008 mb over northern Colombia is supporting strong trade winds off northeastern Colombia, in the Gulf of Venezuela and off central Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are reaching 8 ft off Colombia and the south- central Caribbean, and are 5 to 7 ft elsewhere, except for near 2 to 4 ft south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela will increase to near- gale force Wed through the weekend. Rough to very rough seas are expected with these winds. Fresh to strong E to SE winds in the Gulf of Honduras will increase to near-gale force speeds, with rough seas developing for the second half of the week. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds will strengthen with building rough seas dominating the basin Thu into the upcoming weekend. Large E swell will impact the tropical Atlantic waters and Caribbean Passages most of the week, maintaining rough seas.
The Atlantic basin is dominated by 1032 mb high pressure centered near 34N45W, with the subtropical ridge axis extending westward toward central Florida. A complex low northeast of the Azores is supporting strong N winds and rough seas north of 24N and east of 40W. Elsewhere, this pattern is supporting fresh trade winds and 8 to 10 ft seas across the tropical Atlantic south of 24N, and gentle to moderate breezes and 5 to 7 ft seas north of 24N and west of 40W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will persist across the area. The building high will support fresh to strong E to SE winds and rough seas across the waters south of 25N, including through the Atlantic Passages into the Caribbean.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services