Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
to receive our free report directly to your inbox
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
West Atlantic Significant Swell: A long fetch of strong NE winds are generating very rough seas in the Atlantic offshore of Florida and north of the Bahamas. A SOFAR buoy located near 29N73W is reporting seas up to 13 ft. These marine conditions are occurring in the wake of a stationary front that extends from just E of Bermuda to the central Bahamas. Strong winds and very rough seas will prevail behind the front into tonight. Winds will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to return Sat night into early next week as the pressured gradient tightens.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both areas of significant swell.
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 04N17W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near 02S47W. Scattered moderate convection is noted south of 07N b between 10W and 20W, and S of 04N between 20W and 40W.
A ridge extends across the SE of the United States into the Gulf region. The associated pressure gradient is forcing fresh to strong NE to E winds across the NE Gulf with seas 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker and seas are 3 to 5ft. A few showers are over the NW Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas will be in the Straits of Florida late in the weekend into early next week.
Only a weak north-south pressure gradient is present across the Caribbean, as a stationary front reaches the central Bahamas. As a result, fresh to locally strong E trades are restricted to only over the south-central Caribbean with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the NW part of the basin. Some shower and thunderstorm activity is over the Greater Antilles. Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is moving across the basin producing brief showers.
For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola starting Sat night.
Refer to the Special Features section above for information on a Significant Swell Event offshore Florida in the western Atlantic.
A stationary front extends from just east of Bermuda near 31N64W to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate showers and thunderstorms are occurring mainly ahead of the front. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough seas are behind the front while gentle to moderate winds and rough seas in N swell are up to around 200 NM ahead of the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1036 mb Azores High is centered north of the forecast waters at 36N35W with surface ridging extending toward the NE Caribbean. The large pressure gradient between the ridging and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting fresh to strong NE trades north of 14N and east of 50W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft E of 50W, and 5 to 8 ft E of the front to 50W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate with seas 6 to 10 ft in mainly N swell.
For the forecast west of 55W, please, see the Special Features section for details.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services