Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Jan 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
East Atlantic Gale Warning: The Gale Warning for the Agadir marine zone issued by Meteo-France expired at 03/1800 UTC. 12-18 ft seas and near-gale force W to SW winds continue in Agadir and near the Canary Islands. For more information, please see the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues to 06N17W. The ITCZ extends from 06N17W to 02N51W. No significant convection is noted at this time.
The pressure gradient between 1018 mb high pressure centered near Miami, FL, and a frontal boundary across the southern United States is supporting fresh to locally strong S to SW winds and 4-6 ft seas across the northern Gulf. In the southern Gulf, S to SW winds are gentle to moderate with 2-4 ft seas.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong SW to W winds and moderate seas will continues over the northern Gulf waters today, ahead of a stationary front across the Gulf coast states. The front will enter the northern Gulf late this afternoon and progress over the central basin through Sun, supporting moderate to locally fresh N winds in the wake of the front. High pressure will settle over the basin early next week, leading to moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
A weak surface trough extends across far eastern Cuba and Jamaica. Moderate or weaker trades, and 3-5 ft seas, prevail across the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds are expected over the central and southeastern Caribbean through Sun as a subtropical ridge prevails to the north along 25N-26N. The ridge will shift eastward Sun night through Mon as a cold front moves into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, fresh NE winds are forecast to develop across the Greater Antilles and through the Atlantic passages early next week and prevail through Wed night as high pressure builds to the north, behind the new cold front. Fresh to strong NE winds will also resume off Colombia Wed evening.
High pressure ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by 1018 mb high pressure centered near Miami, FL and 1021 mb high pressure centered near 27N37W. The latest satellite scatterometer data indicates moderate or weaker trades across the basin, with 4-7 ft seas. In the far eastern Atlantic, seas greater than 8 ft are north of 22N and east of 32W.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds will develop over the NW Atlantic offshore zones today ahead of this low pressure system and frontal system moving through the SE U.S. Localized near-gale force winds will be possible offshore of northern Florida tonight, and rough seas are expected near and to the east of these winds. An associated cold front will move offshore of the SE U.S. tonight into Sun and progress eastward through early next week, supporting fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas ahead of the front, and fresh to locally strong N to NW winds and rough seas in the wake of the front. Looking ahead, high pressure will build north of the region early next week.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services