Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jun 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31.5W from 15N southward, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to 10N between 25W and 39W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 61W from 18N southward. This wave was repositioned this morning based on wave diagnostics tools and satellite imagery. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 08N to 16N between 57W and 65W.
An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from 18N southward into northwestern Venezuela. This wave was repositioned this morning based on wave diagnostics tools and satellite imagery. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 13N to 15N between 67.5W and 72.5W.
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then runs southwestward to 05N37W. An ITCZ continues westward from 05N37W to near 05N50.5W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen south of the monsoon trough from 04N to 09N and west of 19W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is bringing isolated thunderstorms across the Carribbean waters near Panama.
A weak cold front extends from north of Cedar Key, Florida to Biloxi, Mississippi. No significant convection is depicted in association to this front. A modest upper- level trough extends southwestward from central Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are evident at the central Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extends across south Florida then weakly to the western Gulf. Light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft are found across the north- central and eastern Gulf. Mainly moderate E to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will dominate much of basin through the weekend. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds will generally prevail across the basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through the weekend. Expect scattered showers and a few thunderstorms along a weak cold front that has shifted southward into the NE Gulf along 29N this morning, before the boundary lifts N of the Gulf tonight.
A broad Atlantic Ridge across the western Atlantic near 28N continues to sustain a robust trade-wind pattern across much of the Caribbean Basin. An upper level trough is causing scattered moderate convection near Jamaica and the Island of Youth. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for additional convection in the Caribbean Sea. Strong to near-gale NE to E winds and seas of 9 to 12 ft are present over the southwestern part of the basin, while fresh E winds along with 5 to 7 ft seas dominate the central part of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft prevail over the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas are found at the northwestern basin. Moderate to fresh easterly trades and seas of 5 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, a broad Atlantic ridge extends from the central Atlantic southwestward to south Florida. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds, and rough seas in the central basin through this morning, then become confined to the south- central basin this afternoon and tonight, before expanding northward again to 18N Thu morning through Sat. Expect winds at near-gale force offshore of Colombia during the nighttime and early morning hours, with gale-force winds likely S of 13.5N Fri night. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat night. Fresh trades with rough seas should persist east of the Lesser Antilles through early Thu morning, diminishing to moderate winds and seas afterward.
A weak cold front extends from 31N77.5W to Saint Agustin, Florida. A surface trough ahead of the weak cold front is generating scattered showers and strong thunderstorms north of 26.5N and between 74W and 78W. Farther east, an upper- level low near 28N65W is triggering scattered moderate convection from 25.5N to 29N between 62W and 67W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted east of Florida, north of 28N between 69W and 75W. Otherwise, a broad ridge extending west-southwestward from the central Atlantic to the Bahamas is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 4 to 7 ft seas north of 22N between 35W and the east coast of Florida, except NW winds adjacent to southern Georgia and northeastern Florida. For the tropical Atlantic from 09N to 22N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and seas at 7 to 9 ft exist. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1027 mb high pressure centered near 34N46W extends a broad ridge southwestward into southern Florida and will dominate the western Atlantic through the weekend. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms with strong gusty winds will continue across the waters offshore of NE Florida through Thu, along and SE of a weak cold front and pre-frontal surface rough across the NW zones. Fresh to strong easterly winds with locally rough seas are expected near the northern coast of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico each late afternoon through night through Fri night. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas are expected south of 22N through Thu night before diminishing. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover.