Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
to receive our free report directly to your inbox
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Mar 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move into the waters offshore of NE Florida late tonight. The front will reach from 31N60W to SE Florida by Sun morning, and from 31N49W to Hispaniola by Mon morning before dissipating over the SE waters on Tue. Strong winds, with frequent gusts to gale force, and rough to very rough seas of 12-15 ft are expected north and west of the front from Sat morning through Sun morning.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from the coast of Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 01.5N24W. The ITCZ then continues from that point to 01S36W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 07N between 10W and 35W.
A 1022 mb high pressure center is over the NW Gulf with a surface trough over the SW Gulf. Moderate to fresh E winds prevail S of 25N, with locally strong winds in the Bay of Campeche between the surface trough and the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas of 1-3 ft prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist over the northern Gulf through tonight. A trough over the Bay of Campeche will support moderate to fresh winds off the northern and western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula, mainly at night, through the middle of the next week. The next cold front will move into the northern Gulf by Sat morning, reach from south Florida to near SE Louisiana by Sun morning, and move southeast of the basin late on Sun. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and moderate seas are expected in the wake of the front over the northern Gulf on Sat morning. Then, similar wind speeds are forecast over the eastern Gulf late Sat through Sun. The pressure gradient will remain strong enough to sustain fresh east winds and moderate to rough seas across the southeast Gulf and the Straits of Florida through the middle of the next week.
The pressure gradient between high pressure north of the basin and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades in the south-central Caribbean. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range over these waters. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas prevail elsewhere across the basin. An upper-level shortwave over the region supports widely scattered showers over much of the Caribbean N of 17N, including the Greater Antilles.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas offshore Colombia through early next week. Then, high pressure following a strong cold front moving through the western Atlantic this weekend, will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and building seas in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and just south of Hispaniola from Sat night through the early part of next week.
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a GALE WARNING.
High pressure prevails across much of the discussion waters. A surface trough extends from 31N58W to N of Puerto Rico. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen E of the trough out to about 50W between 20N and 30N. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail across the remaining discussion waters with surface ridging in place.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services