Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Jan 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends from the Straits of Florida southwestward across the NW coast of Cuba and the Yucatan Channel and into the Yucatan Peninsula, and will continue to move SE of the basin tonight through Tue. Strong northerly winds prevail across the entire basin tonight behind the front, with gale winds to 40 kt near Veracruz, and are expected to continue through late tonight. Very rough seas are occurring off Veracruz. Marine conditions will improve from NW to SE Tue through Wed as the front moves farther southeastward into the NW Caribbean and high pressure settles across the northern Gulf.
Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong W Atlantic cold front extends through 31N72W southwestward across the NW Bahamas and through the northern Straits of Florida. Ahead of the front, fresh to strong SW winds prevail N of 28N. Behind the front, strong NW winds and rough seas prevail, with gales near and offshore NE Florida to the Cape Canaveral area expected to continue through late tonight. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue along the front tonight. The front will reach from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas and central Cuba Tue morning, from near 31N54W to the Turks and Caicos Islands and eastern Cuba Tue evening, then become stationary and weaken as it reaches from near 28N55W to the SE Bahamas and east Cuba Wed evening. The frontal boundary will begin to dissipate on Thu.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
Significant rainfall event: A cold front is entering the NW Caribbean and forecast to stall from eastern Cuba to NE Honduras by late Tue into Wed. As the front becomes nearly stationary over the NW Caribbean, the northerly winds behind it will transport abundant tropical moisture into the Gulf of Honduras and northern Honduras, where the onshore flow will favor the development of showers and thunderstorms. Deep tropical moisture will remain in place across southern Mexico and northern Central America supporting more shower and thunderstorm activity with rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts of 4 to 6 inches due to orographic effects. The heaviest rainfall are expected in southern Mexico late tonight into Tue, and in northern Guatemala and Belize Tue into early Wed, and well as in northern Honduras.
Please follow your local weather office for more details.
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 06N18W. The ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 00N29W and to 03S41W. Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 05N and between 25W and 40W.
Please read the Special Features section for details on the Gale Warning in effect for the SW Gulf.
A cold front extends from the Florida Keys to NE Yucatan and a few showers are noted near the boundary. A strong high pressure over Texas dominates the basin, forcing fresh to near gale-force northerly winds and rough to very rough seas behind the front to a line from the Mississippi to Tampico, Mexico. Elsewhere, mainly the NW Gulf waters, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, outside of the Gale Warning area, the high will shift southeastward on Thu as low pressure develops in the north- central Gulf along the next cold front. This front is expected to reach from the Florida Panhandle to Veracruz by Fri evening. Another round of gale-force winds near Veracruz will likely begin Fri night in the wake of this front.
A cold front is entering the NW Caribbean Sea with a few showers near the boundary. Strong northerly winds and rough seas are noted behind the front. Meanwhile, the remainder of the basin is under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge over the Atlantic. Fresh to strong easterly winds and rough seas are found off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure over the central Atlantic will slide SE and weaken through Tue night. This high will maintain a ridge N of the Caribbean basin, supporting mostly fresh trades over the eastern and central Caribbean as well as the Tropical N Atlantic waters, while fresh winds offshore of Colombia pulse to strong at night through Thu. Large E swell over the Tropical N Atlantic will slowly subside, with seas lingering near 8 ft through Wed afternoon. A cold front currently across the Straits of Florida and Yucatan Channel will enter the NW Caribbean tonight and begin to stall from eastern Cuba to NE Honduras by late Tue into Wed. Strong northerly winds will follow the front before briefly diminishing to mostly fresh on Wed, then increasing to fresh to strong Wed night and Thu as stronger high pressure builds southward across the N Gulf of America. Mainly moderate winds and seas will prevail over the NW Caribbean beginning Thu night.
Please read the Special Features section about the Gale Warning off NE Florida.
A cold front extends from 31N73W to the NW Bahamas and the Florida Straits. A few showers are noted near this boundary. Fresh to near gale-force N winds and rough seas are evident behind this boundary. Fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas are found ahead of the front to 60W and north of 29N. The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that extends from the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas are found south of 25N and east of 65W.
In the far NE Atlantic, a strong low pressure off Ireland is producing fresh to strong W winds and rough seas to the area north of the Canary Islands and east of 25W. Northerly swell associated with this feature is progressing southward, producing seas of 8-16 ft north of 25N and east of 55W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, outside of the Gale Warning area, another cold front will likely enter our westernmost waters on Sat. Elsewhere, a broad ridge extends from 1026 mb high pressure near 31N43W southwestward to east of the Bahamas.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services