Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Mar 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to near gale-force trades across the central and eastern Caribbean through Mon. Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the overnight hours tonight. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are expected with the strongest winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea near 10N14W, then extends southwestward to 01N23W. The ITCZ continues from 01N23W to 02S30W to the coast of Brazil near 03S40W. Scattered moderate convection is noted south of 05N between 05W and 16W, and S of 04N between 28W and 44W.
A ridge from the Atlantic extends westward across Florida into the Gulf region supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds with moderate seas across most of the Gulf waters, including the Straits of Florida. Slight seas are noted offshore Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near SE Louisiana, and over parts of western Florida.
For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending southwestward from the Bermuda High will settle in the Gulf through midweek next week. The pressure gradient between the ridge and low pressure over Mexico will support mainly moderate to fresh E to SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to between fresh and strong near the northern Yucatan and the western Gulf in the evenings, and slightly weaker winds overall in the northeastern Gulf. Seas will be slight to moderate through Wed. A cold front may impact the northwestern and north-central Gulf Wed night and Thu with increasing winds and seas.
Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning in the south-central Caribbean.
An enhanced pressure gradient is in place across the Caribbean, with high pressure near Bermuda and lower pressure over northern Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are across the east and central Caribbean, in the Gulf of Honduras, and also through the Windward Passage. Scatterometer data confirmed the presence of these wind speeds. Seas are in the 8 to 11 ft range in the south-central Caribbean, and 5 to 8 ft elsewhere across the east and central parts of the basin. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail elsewhere across the area. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over the Greater Antilles. Low-topped trade wind showers are observed elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a Bermuda High and a Colombian low will support fresh to near gale-force trades across the central and eastern Caribbean through Wed. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-force this evening. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will pulse in the Windward Passage and Gulf of Honduras through Sun night, then moderate to fresh thereafter. Large easterly trade-wind swell from the tropical North Atlantic will keep rough seas near the Lesser Antilles through Wed.
A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1027 mb high pressure located just E of Bermuda, and another 1027 mb high pressure situated N of the Madeira Islands near 37N18W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are observed N of 20N and E of 20W, including the Madeira Islands. Fresh to strong trades are also noted from 10N to 25N and W of 55W along the southern periphery of the ridge. Seas are 7 to 10 ft with these winds. Moderate to fresh winds dominate the tropical Atlantic with moderate to rough seas, highest just E of the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are noted across the remainder of the forecast waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds will prevail south of 25N through Tue night, reaching strong speeds north of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Rough seas will prevail within these winds and east of the central and southeast Bahamas through Mon. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected elsewhere across the region. Southerly fresh to strong winds may develop off northern Florida Wed night ahead of a potential cold front.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services