Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Dec 30 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends from south Florida to the Bay of Campeche. Strong gale force winds to 45 kt are off Veracruz, Mexico, where very rough seas to 18 ft are noted. Prolonged gale force winds and significant very rough seas will persist over the western Bay of Campeche through late today. Seas will peak around 20 ft off Veracruz today. Conditions will improve from north to south by midweek.
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front extending from a storm- force low north of the area, enters the discussion waters near 31N35W and extends 18.5N53W, where it becomes a stationary front that extends northwestward toward the Bahamas. Large N swell generated from this system is producing very rough seas greater than 12 ft over the forecast waters north of 23N between 35W and 58W. These very rough seas will shift eastward while gradually subsiding from south to north through the week. Rough seas greater than 8 ft cover the waters N of 18N between 35W and 65W.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues to 04N22W. The ITCZ extends from 04N22W to 05N37W to 00N49W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the ITCZ/monsoon trough between 20W and 49W.
Please read the Special Features section above about a gale warning in the SW Gulf.
A strong cold front extends from south Florida to the Bay of Campeche. Aside from the gale force winds, fresh to strong winds are N of the front and E of 90W, with strong to near gale winds N of the front W of 90W. SE of the front, gentle to moderate winds prevail. Rough to very rough seas prevail behind the front with slight seas ahead of the front.
For the forecast, the front will shift SE of the basin today. Gale force winds and very rough seas offshore of Veracruz and the western Bay of Campeche are expected through late today. Elsewhere behind the front, widespread fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected. Winds and seas will slowly diminish from north to south today into early Wed. High pressure will build over the northern Gulf around midweek, with moderate or weaker winds and slight seas over the basin.
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-9 ft, prevail over the south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 4-7 ft are in the north central Caribbean. Elsewhere winds are moderate or weaker with moderate seas.
For the forecast, fresh trade winds will prevail over the central Caribbean into early Wed, pulsing to strong speeds in the south- central Caribbean. Rough seas are expected near and to the west of the strongest winds. Over the Atlantic waters, rough seas in N swell are expected through late Thu before seas subside. A cold front will enter the northwestern Caribbean today, with fresh to locally strong N winds and rough seas expected in the wake of the front, including through the Yucatan Channel. The front will weaken and eventually dissipate over the northwestern basin by late week.
See the Special Features section above for details on a significant swell event in the central Atlantic.
Outside of the area in the Special Features section, a cold front extends from 31N74W to south Florida. Fresh to strong winds are N of 29N and E of the front to 55W, with fresh to strong winds W of the front. Seas over these waters are in the 6-8 ft range. A 1018 mb high is centered near 26N58W. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the front. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 6-8 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, very rough seas in N swell north of 25N and east of 58W will shift east of 55W this morning. Widespread rough seas east of 65W will subside from west to east through midweek. A cold front over the NW waters will progress eastward through midweek, with fresh to strong SW winds likely ahead of the front, and fresh to locally strong NW winds following the front. Rough seas associated with the front are expected north of 28N, with seas subsiding from west to east through midweek. The next cold front is forecast to move off the SE coast of the United States late this week, with increasing winds and building seas likely near and behind the front.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services