Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Dec 3 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
The monsoon trough extends from 08N13W to 08N20W to 06N25W. The ITCZ extends from 06N25W to 03N35W to 06N52W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 06N between 10W and 15W.
A cold front extends from Clearwater, Florida to 23N92W where it becomes stationary and extends to near Veracruz, Mexico. Fresh to strong N winds and seas to at least 7 ft are noted behind the front off the coast of Veracruz. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted elsewhere north of the front. Gentle W to NW breezes and 2 to 4 ft seas are evident south of the front. No significant showers or thunderstorms are active across the Gulf at this time.
For the forecast, marine conditions will diminish by tonight. The cold front will move southeastward, reaching the south-central Gulf by Wed morning. Then, the front will stall and lift northward by late Wed, as another low pressure system forms over South Texas and the NW Gulf. Looking ahead, another cold front will enter the NW waters on Thu, and extend from SE Louisiana to near Tampico, Mexico Fri morning, then stall and lift north toward the northern Gulf on Sat.
The subtropical ridge to the north has been disrupted by a trough N of N of Puerto Rico, creating a weak pressure gradient over the basin and leading to mainly gentle winds and slight seas over the basin. A few showers and thunderstorms remain active off the coast of Panama, where the eastern portion of the NE Pacific monsoon trough resides.
For the forecast, winds will freshen up starting Thu as the high pressure builds in north of the area. These conditions will prevail into early next week, especially in the central and eastern Caribbean. Meanwhile, moderate to locally rough seas, in NE swell, will persist across the NE Caribbean passages through the week and into the weekend.
A cold front reaches from a deep low pressure system off Long Island to near St Augustine, Florida. A pre-frontal trough reaches from 31N77W to Ft Lauderdale, Florida. Fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to rough seas are noted within 180 nm east of the front, with fresh NW winds and 5 to 7 ft following the front. Another surface trough extends along 67W south of 28N to Puerto Rico. A few showers and thunderstorms are noted east of the trough near 25N62W. A ridge axis is noted between the front and this trough, from Bermuda to central Cuba. Fresh to strong E to SE winds and 6 to 9 ft seas cover the remainder of the North Atlantic south of 31N and east of the trough.
For the forecast west of 55W, the fresh to strong winds off northeast Florida will shift east and lift north of the area by Wed afternoon. The front will extend from near Bermuda to South Florida on Wed morning, and from 31N70W to the Straits of Florida by Thu morning. Meanwhile, fresh to strong easterly winds and rough seas follow a surface trough currently located just N of Puerto Rico. The trough will continue to move westward passing N of Hispaniola Wed and Thu. Winds and seas in the wake of the trough are gradually diminishing.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services