Tropical Weather Reports
in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
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in part our Tropical Weather Update today has been put together with data from Crown Weather Services, Windy and NOAA
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Dec 6 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
The monsoon trough extends from 07N11W to 06N21W. The ITCZ continues from 06N21W to 06N35W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 00N to 13N between 13W and 37W.
A cold front extends from near Cedar Key, Florida to 26N90W, then becomes nearly stationary to near Veracruz, Mexico. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail across the basin. Otherwise, scattered showers associated with the front are affecting the north-central and NW offshore waters.
For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas will persist into Sun. Looking ahead, a new cold front is expected to enter the northwestern Gulf Sun evening and sweep over the basin into early next week, leading to fresh to strong N to NW winds and building seas in the wake of the front. Gale-force NW-N winds may develop off Veracruz Mon afternoon and evening. Winds and seas will diminish Tue into Wed as the front stalls across the NW Caribbean and W Cuba.
High pressure north of the Caribbean Sea supports fresh trades in the central and eastern Caribbean, along with 5-7 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh E winds and 3-7 ft seas prevail across SW portions of the Caribbean. In the NW basin, winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight. Rough seas of 8-10 ft in E swell are occurring east of the Lesser Antilles and through the Atlantic Passages. Otherwise, scattered showers are ongoing across the offshore waters of E Honduras and south Jamaica.
For the forecast, a moderate pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered north of the Greater Antilles and lower pressures in northern South America will sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas over the central and eastern Caribbean through the middle of next week. Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A persistent E-NE swell will support rough seas in the Atlantic passages of the Lesser Antilles through the forecast period. Looking ahead, a weakening cold front may approach the northwestern Caribbean on Tue and linger across the area through Wed. High pressure will build by the middle of next week, leading to strong winds and rough seas in the south-central Caribbean into late next week.
A cold front extends from 31N80W to Jacksonville, Florida and is supporting fresh to locally strong SW winds and moderate to locally rough seas off NE Florida. A frontal trough extends from 31N50W to 25N64W. Scattered moderate convection is ahead of the trough N of 26N between 40W and 48W. Modearte to locally fresh SW winds are ahead of the trough to 40W along with rough seas to 9 ft. Surface ridging is elsewhere across the subtropical Atlantic. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are ongoing from 20N to 22N between 30W and 75W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal trough will move eastward across the central Atlantic through Sat, leading to locally fresh winds and rough seas north of 27N and east of 60W through tonight. Fresh to locally strong SW winds and moderate to locally rough seas off NE Florida associated with the cold front will push quickly eastward Sat into Sat night, mainly N of 30N. The front will extend from near Bermuda to central Florida by early Sun morning and dissipate Sun evening. Looking ahead, a complex low pressure system and strong cold front will move through the northwestern tropical Atlantic by early next week, supporting widespread fresh to strong winds and building seas ahead of and behind the front Mon through Tue.
Our Tropical Weather reports - for the most part are put together only during tropical weather season. Our reports are based on a number of online sources and are based on our past experience dealing with tropical weather. We also occasionally include non-tropical weather that would affect the area / footprint that we cover. For additional information check out Crown Weather Services